Definitely a foul, but a harsh booking if you ask me. Over 2.5 goals is available at 10/11, although it’s worth keeping in mind this is Villa’s first visit since a 4-0 drubbing in November 2015. 43 mins: Digne finds space in the penalty area, but Bernard can’t find him with a simple pass. 62 mins: Everton make a double switch. He just needs to sidefoot it in, but he sidefoots - well, sideshins - across goal and wide! In particular their forwards seem to be playing with little confidence, and some of their midfielders - particularly Andre Gomes - seem to have had a complete abilityectomy. 67 mins: Hourihane shoots straight into the wall. It was a missed opportunity for the visitors in a generally dire game in which the goals were the only shots on target, which spoke volumes about the current malaise in which both clubs currently find themselves. This is the first time they meet, let's wait and see. 55 mins: Mings gives the ball away, and Everton win and quickly waste a good attacking opportunity. As a result Villa, with an inferior goal difference, remain three points from safety which means they realistically have to get something out of next week's visit of Arsenal if they are to take it to a potential last-day decider at West Ham. The visitors looked like they had given themselves a lifeline through Ezri Konsa's first top-flight goal 18 minutes from time but the centre-back's desperate overhead kick failed to keep out the Toffees substitute's late effort to dash their hopes. Everton 1-1 Aston Villa (Walcott, 88 mins), GOAL! 89 mins: Villa push forward again and win a corner, but the referee spots a foul in a packed area, and Everton get a free-kick. Overall, the average simulation score is Aston Villa 1.1 to Everton 1.1. This time, unlike in Villa’s game against Sheffield United a couple of weeks back, the referee’s watch buzzes! 51 mins: Andre Gomes curls in a free-kick from wide on the left, and Calvert-Lewin heads over. 90+1 mins: There will be four minutes of stoppage time, or thereabouts. Everton should be much better then we show. When Everton wins they average 10.7 shots and 4.3 shots on goal. pic.twitter.com/bds7DwBS2c. 68 mins: The second drinks break comes. 86 mins: What a chance for Everton! “I’m an Everton fan,” confesses Matt Burtz, “and if Villa can’t beat this Everton team playing the way they’ve played over the last week and a half, they don’t deserve to stay up. “Villa fan here,” admits David Bertram. Create a commenting name to join the debate, There are no Independent Premium comments yet - be the first to add your thoughts, There are no comments yet - be the first to add your thoughts. Keane, wide on the right and getting closed down by Samatta, passes to Pickford, and the keeper gives it right back again. 56 mins: Digne tugs McGinn’s shirt. For the previous 82 minutes we showed really good composure. Win a throw-in, as it turns out, but still... 46 mins: Peeeeeep! Everton also score with their first shot on target! Everton FC (w) got 10 wins, 2 draws and 14 losses in the past 26 games. Are you sure you want to delete this comment? The midfielder goes down about half an hour later, but it’s a mandatory booking and Digne is duly booked. Please be respectful when making a comment and adhere to our Community Guidelines. He has barely put a foot right since the first minute. But that quickly faded and within 15 minutes the momentum had changed with only a mis-hit cross onto the top of the crossbar from Bernard, one of those recalled, to show for that early effort. 90+5 mins: It’s all over. They average 2.0 goals in simulated victories vs just 0.4 in simulation losses. A draw is priced at a generous 5/2. Two shots on target, two goals, one point apiece. 55 mins: Davies shoots high from 22 yards. and the winning rate is 38%. I thought we deserved the victory and didn’t get it today. 62 mins: Richarlison fouls McGinn on halfway, and is booked. Calvert-Lewin made a run to the near post but the ball dropped at the far, and Richarlison hadn’t really made a run at all. We needed to show more composure on the ball in the last eight minutes. 54 mins: Bernard needs to leave the field as quickly as possible. McGinn’s tasty crossfield pass finds Grealish on the left, who cuts onto his right foot, shapes to curl a shot towards the far post and instead goes towards the near. Everton manager Carlo Ancelotti made five changes after labelling Sunday's defeat at Wolves "unacceptable" and initially it had the desired effect as his side started brightly. Andre Gomes ghosts past Konsa, who falls over, and pulls back to Calvert-Lewin at the near post, but he turns it wide! Historically, this fixture has tended to yield goals, with Aston Villa’s last six trips to Goodison Park ending in three goals or more. Still no shot on target. © 2020 Guardian News & Media Limited or its affiliated companies. And misses. *All prices correct at the time of writing and subject to change. 90+4 mins: Reina claims the corner well, but Villa fail to break. “Everton fan here,” admits Mary Waltz. As an aside this is torture to watching knowing only a win will do.” It’s pretty painful for fans of Bournemouth and Watford too, I think. Nobody has created a chance of note and we are still awaiting a first shot on target. Want an ad-free experience?Subscribe to Independent Premium. He gets another go soon after, with his left foot this time, and lifts this one onto Trezeguet’s chest, but it bounces off him to Pickford. 64 mins: Villa also do a double substitution. The players are back out. The England goalkeeper did not help himself when he was almost caught in possession by Samatta moments later as Ancelotti’s frustrations grew not just with him but the whole team. Sky are speculating about when precisely Villa go win-or-bust. But that quickly faded and within 15 minutes the momentum had changed with only a mis-hit cross onto the top of the crossbar from Bernard, one of those recalled, to show for that early effort. All rights reserved. They followed that up with back-to-back wins over Norwich and Leicester, but now look to be drifting towards the summer with little to play for - they’ve taken just one point from the last nine available and Saturday’s 3-0 defeat to Wolves was particularly poor. “Grealish is clearly an outstanding player but I think the real steal when we go down is Luiz who has been quality since we’ve been back. He misses again. 58 mins: Bernard does a not-bad thing, controlling smartly, turning and passing to a man in space. With 18 minutes to go the Italian's fears were realised as Konsa touched home Conor Hourihane's cross for only this third club goal. Academy graduate Keinan Davis will compete with January recruit Mbwana Samatta in place of injured striker Wesley, but the pair only have one Premier League goal between them (Samatta back in February). Due to the sheer scale of this comment community, we are not able to give each post the same level of attention, but we have preserved this area in the interests of open debate. Till then, bye! We recommend backing a draw here. First published on Thu 16 Jul 2020 17.00 BST. I think Theo’s heading it back across goal, which makes it more disappointing, and Ezri puts it over the line. 45+2 mins: Samatta clatters into the advertising hoardings, and gets checked over by the physio. Do they really need to win this, though? Sigurdsson’s set piece clears the area and runs out of play. 49 mins: Grealish cuts in from the left again, and this time he does curl towards the far post. But they were spurred on by the embarrassment that comes with losing to Aston Villa, and just nine minutes or so of decent play was almost enough to win it. They start with Douglas Luiz playing an absolute cracker of a pass to Grealish on the left, but his pass infield to Davis runs through to Pickford. Our journalists will try to respond by joining the threads when they can to create a true meeting of independent Premium. It’s an excellent cross from Hourihane, and Konsa throws out a foot and sends it bouncing into the net!
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